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Commercial Property News
House prices edge up again in June - the third increase in 4 months
House prices rose for the second month running in June, leaving them less than 10% down on a year ago, the Nationwide building society said today, in another sign the market may be stabilising.
The mortgage lender said house prices rose 0.9% this month, taking the annual rate of decline to 9.3% -- the smallest fall since July 2008 -- from 11.3% in May.
And prices in the three months to June were 0.9% higher on the previous three months, the first positive reading since December 2007, with the average house price now standing at £156,442.
"House prices have risen in three of the last four months, suggesting that the improvement that began to show up in March represents more than just statistical noise," said Martin Gahbauer, Nationwide's chief economist.
Earlier, a survey by GfK/NOP showed consumer confidence hitting its highest level in 14 months in June as people became more optimistic about their finances -- the latest in a long line of indicators suggesting the worst is over for the economy.
But policymakers are still being circumspect and not declaring victory yet over Britain's first recession since the early 1990s -- figures due at 9:30 a.m. are expected to show the economy shrank 2.1% in the first three months of 2009.
Nationwide also remained cautious, pointing out the stabilisation in prices had come despite very low house purchase activity as there had been a corresponding drop in the stock of property for sale.
The latter is probably a result of potential sellers and builders holding on to their properties waiting for an upturn but Nationwide said that would have to change.
"Abnormally low supply levels are unlikely to last forever, as the recent price increases should make previously hesitant sellers feel more confident about marketing their properties," Gahbauer said.
"Additional supply is also likely to come from homeowners who see their financial position impacted by higher unemployment and lower incomes."
Credit constraints also remain a problem curbing buying. Mortgage lending in May rose by its lowest amount on record, just £324 million, a tenth of the increase a year ago, according to Bank of England data.
And while mortgage approvals have ticked higher, they remain well below the level consistent with a sustainable recovery.
"The stabilisation of house prices is a welcome surprise that did not seem likely at the beginning of the year," said Gahbauer.
"However, there are still considerable headwinds facing the demand side and until we see a more robust recovery in house purchase activity, it is too early to be confident about a full-scale recovery of prices."
The mortgage lender said house prices rose 0.9% this month, taking the annual rate of decline to 9.3% -- the smallest fall since July 2008 -- from 11.3% in May.
And prices in the three months to June were 0.9% higher on the previous three months, the first positive reading since December 2007, with the average house price now standing at £156,442.
"House prices have risen in three of the last four months, suggesting that the improvement that began to show up in March represents more than just statistical noise," said Martin Gahbauer, Nationwide's chief economist.
Earlier, a survey by GfK/NOP showed consumer confidence hitting its highest level in 14 months in June as people became more optimistic about their finances -- the latest in a long line of indicators suggesting the worst is over for the economy.
But policymakers are still being circumspect and not declaring victory yet over Britain's first recession since the early 1990s -- figures due at 9:30 a.m. are expected to show the economy shrank 2.1% in the first three months of 2009.
Nationwide also remained cautious, pointing out the stabilisation in prices had come despite very low house purchase activity as there had been a corresponding drop in the stock of property for sale.
The latter is probably a result of potential sellers and builders holding on to their properties waiting for an upturn but Nationwide said that would have to change.
"Abnormally low supply levels are unlikely to last forever, as the recent price increases should make previously hesitant sellers feel more confident about marketing their properties," Gahbauer said.
"Additional supply is also likely to come from homeowners who see their financial position impacted by higher unemployment and lower incomes."
Credit constraints also remain a problem curbing buying. Mortgage lending in May rose by its lowest amount on record, just £324 million, a tenth of the increase a year ago, according to Bank of England data.
And while mortgage approvals have ticked higher, they remain well below the level consistent with a sustainable recovery.
"The stabilisation of house prices is a welcome surprise that did not seem likely at the beginning of the year," said Gahbauer.
"However, there are still considerable headwinds facing the demand side and until we see a more robust recovery in house purchase activity, it is too early to be confident about a full-scale recovery of prices."
Tue, 30th Jun 2009